As alternative powertrain technologies continue to shape the global automotive sector, plug-ins are tipped to be the leading form of e-vehicle. And organic growth has overtaken joint ventures and partnerships in popularity, as businesses reconsider the benefits of alliances.
Faced with relatively long development cycles, automakers are investing in downsizing the internal combustion engine in parallel with alternative electro-propulsion. Respondents to KPMG International’s 2014 Global Automotive Executive survey also believe that innovation is critical to survival, to achieve technological leadership and adopt forward-looking mobility solutions.
Automotive executives have to cope with a range of complex trends:
OEM strategy shifts to organic growth
- In
2013, respondents placed joint ventures and partnerships as the main
business strategy, while organic growth now tops the list. This view is
felt most strongly amongst OEMs from the TRIAD countries, with 95 percent
listing organic growth as their main business strategy
- Plug-in
vehicles are expected to attract the greatest demand of any e-vehicle,
while 69 percent of respondents also consider fuel cell technology as one
of the key automotive trends. Seventy-six percent say that ICE downsizing
and optimization is a key issue, compared to just 59 percent for
battery-powered technologies.
- There
is a strong correlation between technological leadership and the ability
to remain independent. The trend to autonomous driving means that
self-driving cars are becoming a real possibility.
- Almost
half of respondents feel that mobility solutions can deliver a profit
within the next 5 years. The growing trend of autonomous driving [the
self-driving car] may have a positive impact on the development of
mobility solutions.
- Ninety-two
percent of global executives say the top priority for today’s car buyers
is a longer-lasting vehicle with low gasoline consumption; the latest
in-car technologies are also important.
- Less
than half of respondents feel alternative fuel technologies are critical
to buyers.
- Fifty-three
percent believe that traditional dealership models are not appropriate,
with online retailing and multi-brand providers set to rise significantly.
- Seventy-one
percent feel that online dealerships are the way forward, although only 60
percent of dealers share this opinion.
- Eighty-five
percent say that growth in the BRICs and other high-growth markets is the
biggest single industry trend up to 2025.
- The
greatest growth potential for BRIC OEMs lies in South East Asia, with
Western Europe and North America largely off-limits.
- Seven out of the 10 top OEMs expected to grow in the next 5 years will come from BRIC countries.
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